As the final day of this election dawns, we are looking at the real probability that Democrats will win the popular vote for the eighth time in the last nine elections. There is also a significant chance that, once again, the Republicans are going to win the electoral college vote despite losing the popular vote. Since the end of Reconstruction, this only happened one time before the election of 2000.
When discussions of how the electoral college is flawed comes up, the defenders of the status quo like to spout about how the current system is what was designed by the Framers to avoid the big states having too much power. The problem is that argument is wrong in three basic ways. First, the original concept behind the electoral college and the belief about how elections would operate ended up being wrong. Which is why the Framers had to amend the Constitution after 1800 to fix the electoral college. Second, there were multiple other reasons for having an electoral college and for the final structure of the electoral college beyond helping the small states counteract the big states. Third, most of those reasons are no longer valid which leaves the question about why should what was ultimately a compromise rather than the core reason for the electoral college still justify keeping what for most of its history has been like the tonsils, wisdom teeth, or appendix of our electoral system.
Let’s turn back to how things were in 1787 when the Constitutional Convention met. There was no television, no radio, no internet, no telephones, no telegraph, no railroad, no cars, no planes. The continent had been organized at the colony level with little or no connections between the colonies before the First Continental Congress. After the Declaration of Independence, the colonies became states, but states were still the basic organizing unit of government. Newspapers were more like your small town local paper is today with nothing like USA Today, the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, or the Washington Post. The primary form of transportation was horseback, and it could take several days to travel across a state. It could take weeks for a letter to get from New York to Charleston. In short, politics were local and or state-based. There was no national politics, and it was difficult for the average voter to get information about what was happening in other states.