While the numbers are not yet “official” (as folks may remember from 2020, it takes a couple of weeks to formally certify the votes), the unofficial results from South Carolina are crystal clear. There were minor variations from county to county (mostly in who finished second), but the major story of the evening was relatively consistent. In every county, President Joe Biden finished somewhere in the mid-90s, and Marainne Williamson and Representative Dean Phillips were splitting the remaining vote (each getting in the low single digits). As a result, neither Ms. Williamson nor Representative Phillips came close to getting the 15% required to win delegates in any congressional district or statewide.
Tomorrow night, we will see if this result is duplicated in Nevada. But, if it wasn’t clear before this weekend, it should be clear now. President Biden will be the Democratic nominee this fall despite the wishful thinking and conspiracy theories put out by the Trumpists. And given the economic numbers, President Biden should be renominated and should be elected. While the U.S. did have inflation rise after the COVID pandemic, the same happened in every major industrial economy due to disruptions caused by the pandemic (followed by the war in Ukraine). Compared to other countries (including some run by conservative governments), the U.S. did above average. Meanwhile, while higher than before, interest rates in the U.S. are still below historical averages, and we have a growing economy with low unemployment. On the economic numbers, President Biden is doing as well or better than most presidents have in their first term. And it is the job of Democrats to make sure that the good news on the economy gets out and outweighs the pessimism that frequently is found in economic reporting.