Thursday, January 31, 2008

Who’s getting the big superdelegates

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

We’ve been closely tracking superdelegate endorsements since early this month, and a clear trend has been observed. If I had written this post yesterday, Obama would have gained 25 superdelegates since January 12, and Clinton gained 23 delegates, pretty even. But Obama surged ahead today, with 6 more superdelegates, now showing a gain of 31 vs. 23 for Clinton. But even more interesting is where the gains have come from:

Obama has gained 20 endorsements from Congress and Governors since Jan 12:
Governors Sebelius and Napolitano, Senators Ben Nelson, McCaskill, Kennedy, and Leahy, and 14 Representatives. Continue Reading...

Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Edwards out

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

John Edwards is dropping out of the race today. What happens to his delegates? First, all of his superdelegates go back into the no endorsement pool. Second, his 4 delegates from New Hampshire and his 8 delegates from South Carolina will go to the convention as Uncommitted. And finally, his delegates from Iowa don’t exist anymore, but will be replaced with Clinton or Obama delegates. That’s because delegates to the national convention haven’t actually been picked yet in Iowa. There are Congressional District (CD) and state conventions still to come, and all his delegates to the CD conventions will have to vote for one of the remaining candidates to the state level convention. We’ll get the delegate trackers updated as the day goes on.

Update 1: The post above has gotten a lot of play around the net, but one thing must be corrected. Continue Reading...

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Florida primaries today

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

The Florida primaries, whose 210 delegates were disqualified for Democrats, take place today. The DNC stripped Florida of its delegates after the state moved its primary before February 5th.

Florida’s Democratic Chairperson Karen L. Thurman posted this note on the Florida Democratic Party website. Continue Reading...

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Another superdelegate switches from Edwards to Obama

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

Arizona Representative Raul Grijalva switched his endorsement from John Edwards to Brack Obama today.

Democratic U.S. Rep. Raul Grijalva of Arizona is endorsing Barack Obama after earlier backing John Edwards in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination. Continue Reading...

Sunday, January 27, 2008

Superdelegates: The Invisible Primary

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

The NY Times gives us its view of the superdelegate race:

The superdelegates are the target of something of an invisible primary as the rival campaigns woo them for endorsements, for the political connections such public backing can bring and for their actual support at the convention, should it be needed. The superdelegates can also be influenced by the primaries. An aide to Senator Barbara Boxer of California said Ms. Boxer would cast her superdelegate vote for the winner of the California primary on Feb. 5. Continue Reading...