Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Framing the House: Plus NY-13

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

There will be 435 seats for voting House members up for grabs this November 4th.

According to “conventional wisdom”, 345 of them will remain in the same party’s hands as in the 110th Congress, that is, 198 Democratic, 147 Republican; while 14 races are complete toss-ups. The others, depending on who you read, are either “favoured” or “leaning”. Continue Reading...

Tuesday, June 17, 2008

Donna Edwards wins MD-4 Special Election

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

For three months, we wrote about the the Special Election in MD-4, starting with the announcement of Al Wynn’s resignation, approval of legislation approving a June Special Election, and finally Al Wynn’s official resignation on May 31, which set the non FL/MI number of delegates to 4,049, and the number of delegates for a majority at 2,025, despite many media organization’s incorrect claim that the number was 2,026.

Well, all this was just in anticipation of Donna Edward’s sure victory in today’s Special Election, and she has indeed won: Continue Reading...

Monday, June 16, 2008

General Election Tracker – June 16

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

This is the DemConWatch General Election Tracker, a summary of the best election projections on the web.

We will be introducing House and Senate trackers later this month. Continue Reading...

Monday, June 16, 2008

Al Gore to (Finally) Endorse Obama Tonight

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

The event will be streamed live tonight at 8:30 Eastern

Dear Friend, Continue Reading...

Sunday, June 15, 2008

Democratic Primary Information

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

Here’s a list of all the key information DemConWatch posted on the 2008 Democratic Primary:

• Superdelegate Endorsement List – The first, and most accurate, list of superdelegate endorsements available on the web. Frozen June 6, 20008.
• No Endorse List – Who’s left – which superdelegates never made up their mind. Frozen June 6, 2008.
• Endorsement List by Date – A complete list of when each superdelegate was added to the DCW superdelegate post. Frozen June 6, 2008.
• Add-on List and Schedule – A complete list of the selected add-on superdelegates and the schedule for future selections. This will be updated until complete.
• Superdelegate History Tracker – Charts and graphs of endorsements by week since mid-January. Frozen June 6, 2008.
• Superdelegates by Position – Breakdown by Governors, Senators, etc. Frozen June 6, 2008.
• Superdelegate Ups and Downs – Changes in the number of superdelegates since December.
• Ultimate Delegate Summary – where the race for the nomination stood on June 6, 2008.
• Ultimate Delegate Tracker – Pledged delegates by state and media organization, all on one page, as of June 6, 2008.
• Edwards’ Delegates Status – February
• Edwards’ Delegates Status – May
• Florida and Michigan By The Numbers – what were the delegate count options for Florida and Michigan options before the RBC decision on May 31.

Posted by Matt at 12:11 AM Continue Reading...

Saturday, June 14, 2008

General Election Tracker – June 14

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

This is the DemConWatch General Election Tracker, a summary of the best election projections on the web.

We will be introducing House and Senate trackers later this month. Continue Reading...

Saturday, June 14, 2008

Florida delegate controversy

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

Unlike Michigan, where the vetting of the Obama (actually Uncommitted) delegates went smoothly, there’s controversy over part of Obama’s Florida delegation:

So much for party unity: As Florida Dems prepare for Saturday’s Jefferson-Jackson dinner aimed at bringing the party “together once and for all,” a spat over the Obama campaign’s decision to replace some already-designated Florida delegates with Obama backers has intensified. Continue Reading...

Saturday, June 14, 2008

The Debt We Owe Tim Russert

WE’VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

People in my generation grew up watching Walter Cronkite, Chet Huntley and David Brinkley bring us the Vietnam War every night with dinner. We none of us thought to question anything they said to us. As kids in the 60’s, they were “the source”. Back then, AP, Reuters, UPI sent feeds, and the networks and newspapers developed bureaus throughout the world to collect and disseminate “news”. Interviews of newsmakers were, for the most part, bland if not moribund.

“The facts” were often what “the powers that be” wanted “us” (the regular people) to know. That was brought home to us as a country in 1971 when the NY Times published what became The Pentagon Papers. Continue Reading...