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Monthly Archives: May 2022
Milwaukee bid for 2024 GOP Convention hits roadbumps
A couple of recent stories out of Milwaukee are hinting at possible problems for the front-runner’s bid to host the 2024 Republican National Convention.
First, and not surprisingly, liberal groups are pressuring the city to withdraw its bid:
Five left-leaning community and labor groups on Tuesday called for Milwaukee leaders to reject the 2024 Republican National Convention that Mayor Cavalier Johnson has been working to win.
Posted in 2024 Convention, GOP
Tagged 2024 Republican Convention
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Chicago, New York, Houston and Atlanta bid for 2024 Democratic Convention
Four cities are vying to host the 2020 Dem convention:
Four cities submitted bids to host the 2024 Democratic convention by Friday’s deadline, with Chicago’s front runner status challenged by the emergence of New York City’s bid.
Posted in 2024 Convention, Democratic Party
Tagged 2024 Democratic Convention
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Australia Election
As more states are considering moving to some form of ranked-choice voting, this weekend is a chance to look at the original home of ranked-choice voting — Australia. There are certain differences between how ranked choice voting works in Australia and how it is likely to work in the U.S.
The big difference between the two systems is that, in elections in which Australia uses ranked-choice voting, there are only two election contests — each of which has a separate ballot. Because there is only one race on each ballot. There is no need for trusting computer programs to accurately read the preferences and allocate them for the House of Representatives. (The Senate uses single transferrable vote which is more complicated and does require computer assistance.)
Second, Australia does not have party primaries. Candidates are chosen by party committees (which can sometimes backfire when the national party forces a candidate on the local party). and it is not difficult for small parties to get on the ballot. In most of the states using ranked choice, they either have ranked choice for party primaries or have a “top four” primary with ranked choice reserved for the general election.
Posted in Elections
Tagged Australia, Environment, Ranked Choice Voting
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The Supreme Leak
Last night an unprecedented leak revealed an unprecedented bombshell.
Most courts are rather tight-lipped about cases that have been heard but not decided. Judges and the support staff that works for them understand that, for multiple reasons, they should not talk about a decision until it is officially released.
Now, no system is perfect, and periodically, there are leaks about the internal operations of the court. But, to the best of my knowledge, there has never been a leak of a draft opinion prior to the official release of the official opinion.
The 2022 Elections: Revenge of the Trumpists
We are on the eve of the start of the first big segment of the primary season for the 2022 election. Texas had its primary back in March, but primary season really starts this Tuesday with primaries in Ohio and and Indiana.
Including the Texas run-off, there are primaries or run=offs set for every week between now and June 28 other than the week of Memorial Day. During that period, a grand total of thirty states will have primaries or run-offs (with some having both). There is normally a longer breaker between the Spring primaries and the late Summer/early fall round of primaries. But due to postponed election dates, Maryland will have its primary in mid-July and North Carolina will have its run-off on July 5 or July 26, depending on the offices which require a run-off. Phase two of the primary season begins on August 2 and runs through September 13.
Mid-term elections are tough for the party in power. The public always want the big problems solved instantly. And big problems are typically years in the making and will require years to solve. Making things worse, the party that wins an election always tries to pass what their primary voters want (which is not the same as what general election voters want) but ends up with in-fighting between the various factions of the party. It has been a long time since any party has won by a big enough margin to be able to pass legislation despite those differences.
Posted in Elections, General Election Forecast, House of Representatives, Senate
Tagged 2022 Primary Elections, Ohio, Pennsylvania, redistricting
Comments Off on The 2022 Elections: Revenge of the Trumpists