-
Recent Posts
- Remaining Races and Recounts
- Election Recap
- Electoral College Anachronism
- Election Security
- Election Night Preview — Part Six (Post-Midnight Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Five — The Local News and the West Coast (11:00 To 11:59 P.M. Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Four — Prime Time Hour Three (10:00 to 10:59 P.M. Eastern)
Search
Welcome to DCW
Upcoming Events
7/15/24 - GOP Convention
TBD - Democratic Convention
11/5/24 - Election DayTools
Archives
Tag Cloud
2008 Democratic National Convention 2012 Democratic National Convention 2012 Republican National Convention 2016 Democratic National Convention 2016 Republican National Convention 2020 Census 2020 Democratic Convention 2024 Democratic Convention 2024 Republican Convention Abortion Affordable Care Act Alabama Arizona Bernie Sanders California Colorado Donald Trump First Amendment Florida Free Exercise Clause Free Speech Georgia Hillary Clinton Immigration Iowa Joe Biden Kansas Maine Marco Rubio Michigan Missouri Nevada New Hampshire North Carolina Ohio Pennsylvania redistricting South Carolina Supreme Court Ted Cruz Texas United Kingdom Virginia Voting Rights Act WisconsinDCW in the News
Blog Roll
Site Info
-
Recent Posts
Recent Comments
- tmess2 on Election Recap
- Anthony Uplandpoet Watkins on Election Recap
- Anthony Uplandpoet Watkins on Election Recap
- DocJess on Don’t think we’re getting a contested convention
- Matt on Dems to nominate Biden early to avoid GOP Ohio nonsense
Archives
- November 2024
- October 2024
- September 2024
- August 2024
- July 2024
- June 2024
- May 2024
- April 2024
- March 2024
- February 2024
- January 2024
- December 2023
- November 2023
- October 2023
- September 2023
- August 2023
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- April 2023
- March 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- January 2020
- December 2019
- November 2019
- October 2019
- September 2019
- August 2019
- July 2019
- June 2019
- May 2019
- April 2019
- March 2019
- February 2019
- January 2019
- December 2018
- November 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- August 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017
- August 2017
- July 2017
- June 2017
- May 2017
- April 2017
- March 2017
- February 2017
- January 2017
- December 2016
- November 2016
- October 2016
- September 2016
- August 2016
- July 2016
- June 2016
- May 2016
- April 2016
- March 2016
- February 2016
- January 2016
- December 2015
- November 2015
- October 2015
- September 2015
- August 2015
- July 2015
- June 2015
- May 2015
- April 2015
- March 2015
- February 2015
- January 2015
- November 2014
- September 2014
- July 2014
- June 2014
- March 2014
- January 2014
- August 2013
- August 2012
- November 2011
- August 2011
- January 2011
- May 2010
- January 2009
- August 2008
- July 2008
- June 2008
- May 2008
- April 2008
- March 2008
- February 2008
- January 2008
- December 2007
- November 2007
- October 2007
- September 2007
- August 2007
- July 2007
- June 2007
- May 2007
- April 2007
- March 2007
- February 2007
- January 2007
- December 2006
- November 2006
- October 2006
- September 2006
- August 2006
- July 2006
- June 2006
- May 2006
- April 2006
- March 2006
- February 2006
- January 2006
- December 2005
- November 2005
Categories
- 2019-nCoV
- 2020 Convention
- 2020 General Election
- 2020DNC
- 2024 Convention
- 2028 Convention
- Anti-Semitism
- Bernie Sanders
- Charlotte
- Chicago
- Civil Rights
- Cleveland
- Climate Change
- Coronavirus
- Coronavirus Tips
- COVID-19
- Debates
- Delegate Count
- Delegates
- Democratic Debates
- Democratic Party
- Democrats
- DemsinPhilly
- DemsInPHL
- Disaster
- DNC
- Donald Trump
- Economy
- Elections
- Electoral College
- Federal Budget
- Freedom of the Press
- General Election Forecast
- GOP
- Healthcare
- Hillary Clinton
- Holidays
- Hotels
- House of Representatives
- Houston
- Identity Politics
- Impeachment
- Iowa Caucuses
- Jacksonville
- Joe Biden
- Judicial
- LGBT
- Mariner Pipeline
- Merrick Garland
- Meta
- Milwaukee
- Money in Politics
- Music
- National Security
- Netroots Nation
- New Yor
- New York
- NH Primary
- Notes from Your Doctor
- NoWallNoBan
- Pandemic
- Philadelphia
- PHLDNC2016
- Platform
- Politics
- Polls
- Presidential Candidates
- Primary and Caucus Results
- Primary Elections
- Public Health
- Rant
- Republican Debates
- Republicans
- Resist
- RNC
- Russia
- Senate
- Snark
- Student Loan Debt
- Sunday with the Senators
- Superdelegates
- Syria
- The Politics of Hate
- Uncategorized
- Vaccines
- War
- Weekly White House Address
Meta
Monthly Archives: August 2024
The End of Primary Season
The U.S. is different from most other democracies in how we run elections. One major difference is that, in most other countries, the local party committees (with some suggestions from the national party) pick the candidates. In the U.S. that only happens (and in only in some states) when there is a special election. Instead, the rule in most states is that candidates for the general election are chosen by partisan primaries.
And because there is no federal law governing the timing of primaries, it is up to the states to decide when they want to hold their primaries. But, because federal law does set the date of the general election for presidential electors, U.S. Senators, and U.S. Representatives (the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November) and also requires that absentee ballots e mad available by early October to military voters, the latest that a state can hold their primary (and canvass the ballots at the state level) while still having time to print general election ballots is around mid-September. So, particularly, in a presidential election year, primary season runs from February through September.
We are down now to the last four states to hold primaries. (Louisiana, technically, does not have a primary. Instead, they use a semi-nonpartisan general election on which all candidates from all parties appear on the general election ballot with a runoff several weeks later if nobody gets a majority.)
Posted in Elections, House of Representatives, Primary Elections, Senate
Tagged Ann Kuster, Bethany Hall-Long, Chris Pappas, Chris Sununu, Colin Van Ostern, Delaware, Elizabeth Warren, Kelly Allotte, Lisa Blunt Rochester, Maggie Goodlander, Massachusetts, Matt Meyer, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Sarah McBride, Stephen Lynch, Tom Carper
Comments Off on The End of Primary Season
Thursday DNC Schedule
It’s time:
5:30 PM
Call to Order
Wednesday DNC Schedule
Bill Clinton and Tim Walz. Pelosi and Shapiro. They will all be hard-pressed to top the Obama speeches last night:
5:30 PM
Call to Order
Tuesday DNC Schedule
It’s Obama-time:
Program Schedule: Democratic National Convention Night 2
“A Bold Vision for America’s Future”
Monday DNC Schedule
First the highlights. The complete schedule follows:
5:15 PM – 10:15 PM
Call to Order
2024 Democratic Convention starts tomorrow
The latest news:
- Convention programming will air live from the United Center in Chicago between 6:15-11 PM Eastern/5:15-10 PM Central on Monday, and 7-11 PM Eastern/6-10 PM Central for all other days. Monday’s theme is ‘For The People”.
- You can watch a livestream of the convention on all platforms, including, get this, “DemConvention.com/watch“. Wow! So close! All they needed to do was ask for our domain. We would have gladly lent it out for the week!
- The Pro-Palestinian protests are full steam ahead.
- And the unofficial roll call will be held on Tuesday
Posted in 2024 Convention
Tagged 2024 Democratic Convention
Comments Off on 2024 Democratic Convention starts tomorrow
The DNC starts in two days!
Here’s the latest news for the 2024 Democratic Convention which starts on Monday in Chicago:
Here’s a look inside the United Center:
- Main Speaker List: Monday: Biden and Hillary Clinton. Tuesday: Obama. Wednesday: Bill Clinton and Walz. Harris will close it out on Thursday.
- Here’s an excellent behind the scenes view on what its like under the podium of a democratic convention
- While every delegate will still get a bag of coffee beans as a nod to a cup of “Joe,” the convention has had to do a quick pivot to Harris.
- Can’t get a credential? There’s a watch party being held at Soldier Field
- And they’ve raised $95 million for the convention
Posted in 2024 Convention
Tagged 2024 Democratic Convention
Comments Off on The DNC starts in two days!
August 20 Primaries — Alaska, Florida, and Wyoming
As we conclude the August primaries (there are runoffs next week in Oklahoma, but nothing above the state legislative level), the main focus will be on Florida. Yes there are primaries in Alaska and Wyoming, but they will have little impact on November.
In Alaska, the only statewide or Congressional primary is for the one house seat. However, Alaska uses a top four primary. Barring a major upset, the top three are all but set. Democratic Representative Mary Peltola might lose in November, but she will get well beyond the 20% needed to be assured of a spot in the top four. The top two Republicans are two-time third-placed candidate Nick Begich and Lieutenant Governor Nancy Dahlstrom. It is possible that whomever of these two gets fewer votes might only end up in the mid to high teens. If there were five strong candidates, that might be fatal to making the top four. But there aren’t five strong candidates and a number in the mid-teens will probably be good enough for a top four finish. Beyond those three, nobody has raised significant funds. Somebody will do good enough to finish four and make the general, and that somebody might get some funds to run a general election campaign. But that candidate is unlikely to get enough votes in November to avoid being the first candidate out in ranked-choice voting.
In Wyoming, there will be primaries on the Republican side for both the Senate and the House. One of the two challengers in the Senate has raised a significant amount of money, but there is no indication that there is significant grassroots opposition to either incumbent. My expectation is that both incumbents will have comfortable wins on Tuesday.
Posted in Elections, House of Representatives, Senate
Tagged Alaska, Anna Luna, Debbie Murcasel-Powell, Debbie Wasserman-Schultz, Florida, Jared Moskowitz, Lois Frankel, Maria Salazar, Mary Peltola, Matt Gaetz, Mike Haridopolis, Nancy Dahlstrom, Nick Begich, Rick Scott, Vern Buchana, Whitney Fox, Wyoming
Comments Off on August 20 Primaries — Alaska, Florida, and Wyoming
August 13 Primaries — Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont, Wisconsin
As we are nearing the mid-way point of the summer primaries, there are four states with primaries during this upcoming week — Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont, and Wisconsin. However, compared to some previous weeks, this week should be relatively low on drama.
Connecticut is one of those states that uses party conventions as a screening tool for the primary. There are two ways to get on the primary ballot — getting enough votes at the party convention or getting enough signatures on a petition. There are only two primaries on the ballot (at least above the state legislative level), both on the Republican side — one for U.S. Senate and one for the Fourth District. However, neither of the Republican candidates for Senate are funded at anywhere near the level that would make them a viable general election candidate. While the two candidates in the Fourth have some money, the Fourth District is solidly Democratic. In other words, neither or these primaries will make much difference in November.
Minnesota has some primaries that might be significant.
Posted in Elections, House of Representatives, Primary Elections
Tagged Amy Klobuchar, Andre Jacques, Angie Craig, Bernie Sanders, Connecticut, Dean Phillips, Don Samuels, Eric Hovde, Ilhan Omar, James Roth, Joe Tierab, Joseph Fraser, Katrina Shankland, Michelle Fischbach, Mike Gallagher, Minnesota, Phill Scott, Rebecca Cooke, Royce White, Taylor Rahm, Tony Wied, Vermont, Wisconsin
Comments Off on August 13 Primaries — Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont, Wisconsin
And the Next Vice-President Is?
Democrats have had to act on a very compressed schedule recently. This compressed schedule is caused by two things: 1) The sudden withdrawal of Joe Biden from the race on July 21; and 2) Ohio Republicans.
On the second issue, for almost five decades now, the tradition has been that, in almost every election cycle, the party in the White House has held their convention between August 15 and the week after Labor Day. Despite this tradition, some states (including Ohio) have set a deadline for certifying the presidential and vice-presidential candidates before the end of August. Despite this nominal deadline, in every cycle, these states (having made whatever point they intended to make) grant a waiver to any party holding their convention after the deadline. This year, however, Ohio waited to long to enact a statutory waiver which creates an ambiguous situation. Ohio’s new law will push the deadline to after the Democratic convention, but that new law does not take effect until September 1. The current law, however, has a deadline of August 7. So, if the Democrats wait until after the convention, their certification will be untimely under current law and then, maybe, become timely under the new law. But that would require hoping for courts to do the right thing in interpreting the law, and, despite the guarantees to the contrary by Republican officials in Ohio, it is as certain as the sun rising in the morning that some Republican would challenge any “late certification.”
As a result, the Democrats have been acting as if August 7 is still the deadline in Ohio. Thus, the virtual roll call for President will be concluded by 6 p.m. on August 6. And Vice-President Harris has until just before the close of business on August 7 to name her vice-presidential nominee. While normally, we would expect to see this pick made on the eve of the convention (in other words around August 14-16), the pick has to be made within the next seventy-two hours.
Posted in 2024 Convention, Elections
Tagged J.B. Pritzker, Josh Shapiro, Kamala Harris, Mark Kelly, Pete Buttigieg, Tim Walz
Comments Off on And the Next Vice-President Is?