Tag Archives: 2016 Republican National Convention

The Rules of the Convention: Part Four — Issues for the Convention

As discussed in the previous three parts (particularly part one and part three) of this series, the rules for the two conventions are currently simply a first draft set forth in the Rules of the Republican Party (on the Republican Side) and the Call for the Convention (on the Democratic side).  When the rules committees of the two conventions meet this summer before the conventions, they will need to decide what needs to be fixed for this convention and what can wait until after the convention.

On the Democratic side, this debate will be relatively simple.  In all likelihood, the candidate with the most pledged delegates will also have the most total delegates and will control the majority of the rules committee.  Given the input that candidates have on delegate selection, it is unlikely that the delegates would approve any rules changes that dramatically alter the business of the convention.  Additionally, the fact that both of the major candidates will have enough members on each of the committees to write a minority report will put a brake on any major rule changes.  While the general purpose of the rules is to manage the business of keeping the convention running smoothly, this balance of power on the Rules Committee tends to discourage attempts to use the rules to silence the trailing candidates at a Democratic Convention.   While there are certainly minor changes that people looking at the call might want to do, most of the Democratic debate about the convention involve things like unpledged party leader delegates that are not part of the rules of the convention.  The issue about whether to make any changes to the role of these super delegates are an issue for after the convention.

The same can’t be said about the Republicans — particularly if no candidate heads into Cleveland with more than 1,100 delegates.  In a contested convention, everything about the Republican rules will be open for discussion in the Rules Committee. Continue Reading...

Posted in Cleveland, GOP, Philadelphia, PHLDNC2016 | Also tagged , , , , 4 Comments

Catching Up

I haven’t posted in several weeks as I ended up getting actual Influenza A (and yes, I took the vaccine). I’m not saying it was rough, but I didn’t even care that there were primaries and caucuses because I couldn’t raise my head. For those of you who know me personally, you’ll understand how low I was when I mention that for more than two weeks, I didn’t have even a sip of coffee.

There is so much to catch up on. First, Bernie is on a roll, and I have received a lot of emails and texts asking whether or not he can actually get the nomination. The answer is a full maybe. First off, those pledged delegates from the caucus states can move, as they did last Saturday as the process moves from election day to the county, district and state conventions. The split in Nevada has so far moved from 20 – 15 Clinton to 18 – 17 Clinton, but there are 8 additional delegates to allocate and the State convention in May. Maine is another state that could reallocate delegates. Will it be enough? Amazingly, it will depend on places like New York, New Jersey, Maryland, Pennsylvania and California which are normally non-starters in the primary race.

While everyone (including DCW) looks at the full delegate total, including Super Delegates, my math is a little different. Continue Reading...

Posted in Bernie Sanders, Delegates, GOP, Hillary Clinton, House of Representatives, Politics, Primary and Caucus Results, Senate | Comments Off on Catching Up

The Rules of the Convention: Part Three — Organization of the Convention and Nomination Process

In July, the individuals elected as delegates to their party’s conventions will show up in Cleveland and Philadelphia to select the nominees of their party.  As noted in Part One, each party has temporary rules:  the Republican rules contained in the “Rules of the Republican Party” and the Democratic  Rules contained in the “Call for the Convention.”  These temporary rules do include several committees that will meet before the convention to work on some of the details of the convention, including a rules committee for drafting the permanent rules.

The rules for both parties have some similarities.  There are two big differences, however.  The first involves the composition of the convention committees.  The second involves the process for voting on a nominee.

Continue Reading...

Posted in Cleveland, DNC, GOP, PHLDNC2016, RNC | Also tagged Comments Off on The Rules of the Convention: Part Three — Organization of the Convention and Nomination Process

Rubio requests his delegates stay bound #rnc2016

Note the typo on the first line
IMG_20160330_052640

Update from Matt: Alaska says Rubio will get his 5 delegates back.

Posted in Delegate Count, Delegates, GOP, RNC | Comments Off on Rubio requests his delegates stay bound #rnc2016

The Rules of the Convention: Part One — The Basics

Normally, the rules of the two national conventions are an after-thought.  One candidate gains a significant lead in early March and the rest of the candidates drop out.  The convention becomes a coronation and the rules only matter to insiders.  This year, however, both parties may have two (or more) candidates fighting into June .  At that point, the rules may become crucial to bringing an end to the race.

This post will cover some of the basics in the rule.  With the race now entering a “calm period” with Wisconsin on April 5 and New York on April 19 before the pace picks back up on April 26, my hope is to reach at least three other topics over the next several weeks:  1) delegate selection; 2) the running of the convention itself; and 3) what might change between now and the conventions.

Continue Reading...

Posted in Cleveland, DNC, GOP, Philadelphia, PHLDNC2016, RNC | Also tagged Comments Off on The Rules of the Convention: Part One — The Basics

An extended GOP convention could cause hotel and police problems

If the GOP convention goes past four days, the logistical problems are going to be an issue:

First the hotels:

The Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 18 to 21, but many party people are “booking hotels past the 22nd and 23rd” in preparation for a contested convention, the source said.

The RNC has blocked out most hotel rooms in Cleveland since last year, but some hotels may not be able to guarantee space after July 22 since they have weddings and other social events booked. Continue Reading...

Posted in Cleveland, RNC | Comments Off on An extended GOP convention could cause hotel and police problems

Delegate Math — March 21 through April 3

After three weeks of multiple primaries in large and medium-large states, there is one last week of multiple events before the process takes a bit of a breather.  After this week, there is a half contest during the week of March 28; one and a half contests during the week of April 4; one quarter contest during the week of April 11; and one contest during the week of April 18 (albeit the very big New York primary).  The pace will only pick back up starting the week of April 25.   In practical terms that means that the candidates will be spending the next month concentrating on a very few states and determining if it is worth continuing with the campaign.

Posted in Bernie Sanders, Delegate Count, Delegates, Hillary Clinton, Primary and Caucus Results | Also tagged , , , Comments Off on Delegate Math — March 21 through April 3

Watching the Republicans

Summary of research for the Republican Autopsy, 2012

Summary of research for the Republican Autopsy, 2012

Let’s review.  Back in 2012, the GOP decided to do an autopsy of what went wrong with Mitt Romney and the 2012 election. (For those of us keeping score, the highlight was watching the Karl Rove meltdown. Sorry, couldn’t help myself.) Reince Priebus selected people with gravitas to undertake the study,  including Ari Fleischer and Haley Barbour, and the team interviewed over 52,000 Republicans. They reached conclusions related to being more inclusive, changing their messaging, and doing serious outreach. I’m not making this up, you can read it here.  Had they done any of those things, this would be a different March of 2016.

But they did the exact opposite, and then when the poster child for the absolute worst parts of the Republican Party started a campaign, they made fun of him, and wrote him off. And so today, their presumptive candidate is Donald Trump and they’re floundering for a way to cheat him out of the nomination.

The rhetoric yesterday was amazing. Utilizing, or potentially changing Rule 40, Currently, this rule says that unless a candidate has won eight states outright, his name cannot be entered in nomination. As of this writing, Trump has won 19 states, Cruz 7, Rubio 3 and Kasich 1. Cruz may well get his eighth (think Utah) but Rubio is out, and Kasich has a heavy lift. Notwithstanding the delegate count, which is a mixture of proportional, semi-proportional and winner-take-all, it’s basically down to two on the floor. This also precludes the floated Republican plan of Paul Ryan or someone else who wasn’t part of the primary elections. This rule was enacted to stop Ron Paul in 2012, after the shenanigans they used in 2008 to invalidate his delegates in Saint Paul. The GOP is infamous in its ability to move the goalposts so they’ll likely screw with the rule, but Trump is different. Really: take the quiz. Continue Reading...

Posted in Elections, GOP | 1 Comment

GOP and print press spar over 2016 convention access charges

The airlines have been charging fees for everything on an airplane. The GOP decided to join in the fun:

For the first time, Republican presidential nominating convention organizers are poised to charge print journalists for a seat in the convention hall.

GOP convention organizers are proposing charging news organizations $150 per seat in the writing press stand, which would include a chair, a table and access to electricity. The move has the press’ representatives up in arms, arguing it makes convention coverage a “pay-to-play” scenario. Continue Reading...

Posted in Uncategorized | Comments Off on GOP and print press spar over 2016 convention access charges

GOP hopes Cleveland debate and convention will turn must-win Ohio red

Well Trump may steal the headlines on Thursday, but the GOP is hoping for something more strategic:

But Republican leaders are delighted by one aspect of the debate: the attention it will shower on Ohio, a state they hope to bring back into the Republican fold in the 2016 election. The ultimate bellwether state in presidential politics, Ohio is the site of next Thursday’s debate because, just under a year from now, it will host the 2016 convention in the same Cleveland sports arena.

“We will have thousands of Ohio Republican volunteers and activists converging on Cleveland next summer,” said Mark R. Weaver, a Republican strategist in the state. “They will be re-energized, signed up and ready to rock.”

Despite the intense television exposure of a national convention, the hoopla-driven events have proved to be poor predictors of a party’s success in a state. Both Democrats and Republicans lost the battleground states where they picked their nominees three years ago.

By some accounts, a home-state convention is a double-edged sword, which may explain why Republicans have not won the state where they chose their nominee since 1992. Continue Reading...

Posted in Republican Debates, RNC, Uncategorized | Also tagged , Comments Off on GOP hopes Cleveland debate and convention will turn must-win Ohio red