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Recent Posts
- Election Night Preview — Part Five — The Local News and the West Coast (11:00 To 11:59 P.M. Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Four — Prime Time Hour Three (10:00 to 10:59 P.M. Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Three — Prime Time Hour Two (9:00 To 9:59 P.M. Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Two — Prime Time Hour One (8:00 to 8:59 p.m. Eastern)
- Exit Polls and Projections
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Tag Archives: COVID-19
International Issues
Historically, domestic issues have always mattered more than foreign relations. But the willful ignorance of the rest of the world leads to a misleading view of domestic issues. So three topics worthy of a closer look.
First, for the last week the pomp of the United Kingdom has been on display with the ceremonies connected with the death of Queen Elizabeth II and the succession of King Charles III. We simply do not do pomp in this country that well. What can’t be denied is that pomp has a role to play. The formalities of politics emphasize continuity and the orderly rules of succession. If you have ever watched coverage of a British general election, there is a whole formal ceremony connected with the declaration of the vote in each district. And, at least for the early results (until they expand from a trickle to a flood), many of the declarations get live coverage. By contrast, in the U.S., the media “declare” a winner long before the count becomes official, and the official declaration of the vote is simply a vote by a canvassing board covering multiple races and some signatures on the official documents with little or no public fanfare. This low-key approach has, as we have seen, the consequence of depriving the final result of some of the finality and officialness which would make it harder to challenge.
Second, we are now dealing with a global economy. National (and state and local) governments can impact things around the margin. But we lack any recognizes statistics for measuring how well or poorly a particular country is doing. How many Americans know that the United Kingdom with a Conservative government is looking at double digit inflation while the U.S. is doing about 5% better. The reality is that so much of what is produced and consumed in this country (even if it stays entirely in the U.S.) is part of a global market. The oil produced by U.S. wells may be refined in U.S. facilities and then sold at U.S. gas stations, but that is all done by private companies which only do so to the extent that they can make more money in the U.S. than in Mexico or Japan or Germany. So if prices are going up in Germany, Americans will have to pay more if we want to keep the gas in the U.S. Likewise, it is hard to have a growing economy if the rest of the world is in a recession and nobody abroad can buy the extra goods that you are producing. But there is no official number for global inflation (pegged to value in the same currency) or global economic growth. Thus, it takes a lot more effort than most voters are going to do to find out if the current government is doing as best a job as can be done to weather hard times in the global economy or is doing a lousy job to maximize gains when the global economy is doing well.
Posted in Rant
Also tagged ceremonies, Climate Change, inflation, Royal succession, Ukraine, United Kingdom
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Mid-Summer Hodgepodge
The last couple of weeks have had a mix of news that leaves so many possible topics for a post (and some may get a follow-up).
First, before taking their August recess (or in Congress-speak “District Work Period”), the Senate passed the infrastructure bill and the budget resolution that will be the basis for a reconciliation bill when Congress returns. The House will take up these two items when the House returns. Progressives want to table the infrastructure bill until the reconciliation bill passes (to force moderates to support the reconciliation bill). Moderates want to finish up the infrastructure bill before something that happens that could doom that bill.
Second, the House will also be voting on the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act. As expected, in the aftermath of this year’s Supreme Court decision in Brnovich undermining Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, the bill has been expanded to fix both Section 2 and reinstate the preclearance requirements struck down in Shelby County. While there will almost certainly be changes in the House, the real debate will be when it gets to the Senate. The Republicans will attempt to block this bill, and it will be up to a handful of Democratic Senators to balance whether protecting the rights of African-Americans and other minority voters matters more than protecting the filibuster.
Posted in Uncategorized
Also tagged 2020 Census, Afghanistan, California, Canada, Germany, Infrastructure, redistricting, Voting Rights
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What if they gave a Convention and Nobody came?
Last evening the first community based US coronavirus case was announced. There is never just one. And so, just like flu hits different areas of the country at different times, there will be pockets and hot spots, and then they’ll clear and there will be others.
In China, the first cases arose in November of 2019. (Yes, that’s correct, not December.) It was noticed by medical personnel in December, who were silenced by the regime (and several later died), and not “believed” by the Xi regime until late January, when they began locking down China. It is now two months later, and China is still in partial lock-down. It will take another few months, at least, to get back to full speed.
The difference between China (and Italy, Iran, South Korea and Japan) is that we know it’s coming, and we are learning every day from what those countries do what works and what doesn’t. And we know the best possible thing to do is to test people, and the worst possible thing to do is to place large numbers of people in an enclosed space. Like, um, a political convention with people coming from all over the country, and journalists coming from other countries.
Posted in 2020 Convention, 2020DNC, Coronavirus, COVID-19, Notes from Your Doctor, Pandemic
Also tagged 2020DNC, Coronavirus, pandemic
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Notes from Your Doctor: Preparing for Pandemic
When not if…that was the word from CDC yesterday, and they’re correct. Covid-19, aka coronavirus is here, and it will at some point be “community based” meaning that it will spread from person to person amoungst people who have not been to any of the affected areas, and were not repatriated.
Is it time to panic? No.
It is, however, time to prepare.
Posted in Coronavirus, COVID-19, Notes from Your Doctor, Pandemic
Also tagged Coronavirus, pandemic
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