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Recent Posts
- Election Night Preview — Part Five — The Local News and the West Coast (11:00 To 11:59 P.M. Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Four — Prime Time Hour Three (10:00 to 10:59 P.M. Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Three — Prime Time Hour Two (9:00 To 9:59 P.M. Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Two — Prime Time Hour One (8:00 to 8:59 p.m. Eastern)
- Exit Polls and Projections
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Tag Archives: Jon Ossoff
Georgia, Recall Elections, Impeachment, and Removal — a Legal Primer
In the aftermath of a weak of sedition and riots, I am seeing a lot of questions about issues related to the seating (or exclusion) of Senators and Representatives. I am also seeing questions about what can be done to bring a quicker end to the mistake that was the Trump presidency.
Let’s start with the Georgia elections. As we learned in November, it takes time to finalize the election results. In Georgia, there are three key deadlines. The first is the deadline for receipt of overseas ballots and for the curing of “rejected” absentee ballots and for determining the validity of provisional ballots. That deadline was the close of business today. So, at the present time, all of the counties should know if they have any votes left to count.
The second deadline is next Friday — January 15. By that date, all of the approximately 160 counties are supposed to have completed their county canvass and certified all votes to the Secretary of State. This deadline can be extended if the Secretary of State orders a pre-certification audit (as happened in the presidential race). (It is unclear how the audit will apply to the Senate races. The state law required one for the November election but is ambiguous as to the run-off election. The Secretary of State also opted for a complete hand recount of all votes in the presidential race — which technically is not an audit — but the statute only requires an audit of random counties and precincts. If a proper – in other words, limited — audit is conducted, the counties that have to do the audit may not need an extension.)
Posted in 2020 General Election, Donald Trump, Elections, Joe Biden, Senate
Also tagged exclusion of members of Congress, Georgia, Impeachment, Josh Hawley, Raphael Warnock, recall elections, Ron Johnson, Ted Cruz
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Georgia on My Mind
A week from today, there will be two runoff elections in Georgia for its two Senate seats. One, the race between Senator David Perdue and Jon Ossoff will be for a full six-year term. The other, the race between Senator Kelly Loeffler and Reverend Raphael Warnock is for the last two years of former Senator John Isakson’s term.
Georgia, like many southern states, requires a primary run-off if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. However, Georgia is part of a very small set of states that requires a run-off if no candidate wins a majority in the general election (except for the selection of presidential electors). It also, like some other states (again mostly in the south), uses a so-called jungle primary for special elections in which all candidates from all parties run on the same ballot in the general election rather than having party primaries to pick candidates for the special election. Back in November, the Libertarian candidate did just well enough in the Perdue-Ossoff race to prevent anybody from getting a majority, and there were enough candidates running in both parties that nobody got over 35% of the vote with Warnock and Loeffler advancing to the runoff.
As the fact that it is primarily found in the South should indicate, runoff elections have a somewhat racist history in the U.S. While not the only reason for wanting a runoff, keeping power for the white political and economic establishment against reformers who might support an increased role for minorities (among other things) was a motivating factor.
Posted in 2020 General Election, Senate
Also tagged David Perdue, Georgia, Kelly Loeffler, Raphael Warnock
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Runoffs and Control of the Senate
With less than three weeks to go until election day. A lot of ink has been spilled over how state laws on the receipt and counting of absentee/mail-in ballots could delay knowing who won the presidential election. But it could take even longer to know who will control the U.S. Senate.
One of the reasons is, of course, that the same delay in counting votes for the Presidential election could also delay counting the votes for the Senate elections. However, given where the seats are and the current polling average, I expect that most Senate seats will be called on election night. And it is possible that one party or the other will have a good enough night to get to 51 seats by midnight.
But there is a real chance that control of the Senate will come down to three races. (At the very least, these three races will impact how comfortable the majority is. Both parties have a handful of Senators who will occasionally split on a key vote. Needless to say a 50-50 Senate with Vice-President Harris only voting in the case of a tie is going to be less likely to pass major legislation than a 53-47 Senate especially if the filibuster finally goes the way of the dodo.) And in all three races, the election may not be over on election night.
Posted in 2020 General Election, Senate
Also tagged David Perdue, Doug Collins, Georgia, Kelly Loefler, Maine, Raphael Warnock, Sara Gideon, Susan Collins
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