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Recent Posts
- Election Night Preview — Part Six (Post-Midnight Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Five — The Local News and the West Coast (11:00 To 11:59 P.M. Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Four — Prime Time Hour Three (10:00 to 10:59 P.M. Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Three — Prime Time Hour Two (9:00 To 9:59 P.M. Eastern)
- Election Night Preview — Part Two — Prime Time Hour One (8:00 to 8:59 p.m. Eastern)
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Tag Archives: Native American
Supreme Court — Two Weeks to Go
We are now down to two weeks left before the effective end of this year’s Supreme Court term. (Officially, the term ends at the start of October when the next term begins. But the Supreme Court usually issues all of its opinions before the Fourth of July and only handles emergency matters in July, August, and September.) As was noted in the post two weeks ago, there are some unwritten rules regarding how the workload is distributed among the justices which makes it possible (not easy but possible) to speculate about who might have which cases.
One complicating factor in this year’s term (as discussed two weeks ago and last week) is that we do not know how many written opinions we are getting this term. There are three ways that we could end up with fewer opinions: 1) in related cases, the Supreme Court could “consolidate” the cases and issue one opinion covering both cases (this normally happens before argument, but can happen when opinions are assigned); 2) in related cases, the Supreme Court could decide to issue a signed opinion in one case and an unsigned opinion in the other case; and 3) the Supreme Court can dismiss a case after argument. We have already seen all three possibilities occur this term. We could have up to eighteen opinions still to come this term. At the present time, we know that we will have two opinion days this upcoming week. In last week’s two opinion days, we only get five opinions, but we got six opinions on one day back in May. My hunch says that we are likely looking at two or three opinion days the week of June 26, but the Supreme Court tends to keep that information closely held and it tends to not announce the last opinion day until the next-to-last opinion day.
How many opinions we have left matters because the Supreme Court tends to try to keep the workload balanced. If we have eighteen opinions left, there will be fifty-six total opinions for the term which would mean that every justice would have six opinions with two justices getting seven opinions. But it is possible that some of the remaining cases could have no opinion. While, due to Justice Jackson recusing in the Harvard case, it is unlikely that the two Affirmative Action cases will be consolidated, it is easy to see a signed opinion in the North Carolina case and an unsigned opinion in the Harvard case. We could see a consolidated opinion in the student loan forgiveness cases. And everyone is expecting a dismissal in the North Carolina redistricting case.
Posted in Civil Rights, Judicial, LGBT
Also tagged Affirmative Action, Free Speech Clause, Immigration, LGBTQ, redistricting, Religion, student loans, Supreme Court
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Supreme Court — October 2022 Term — First Look at the Remaining Cases
It’s the first full week of June. And that means that the clock is rapidly ticking to the end of this year’s Supreme Court term. By custom, the Supreme Court tries to issue all of the opinions from the term before the Fourth of July holiday. (It then spends the last three months of the term handling emergency motions and preparing for the next term.)
As we look ahead, some basics about how the Supreme Court operates. During the argument portion of the term, the Supreme Court holds seven “monthly” — October through April — argument sessions (not quite as sessions often occur partly in two months but that is the convention used to describe the sessions). In each session, the court hears arguments on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday (with some days skipped for federal and religious holidays). Then on Friday, they discuss that week’s cases (along with applications for review) and take a tentative vote on each case. After the vote, the “senior justice in the majority” (either the Chief Justice or the longest serving Associate Justice in the majority if the Chief Justice is the minority) chooses which justice gets to write the first draft of the opinion. Typically, the justices assigning the opinions try to assure a balanced assignment of cases within the session (i.e., if there were nine cases, each justice would get one opinion to write) and across the term as a whole. When we reach this point of the term, we have enough opinions from individual argument sessions to try to guess who will have the opinion.
Starting with October, we are down to one outstanding case — the Alabama voting rights case. The bad news is that there are only two justices without an opinion from October — the Chief Justice and Justice Thomas. It is slightly more likely that the Chief Justice has the case He tends to like writing election cases. While both are very likely to write an opinion that would undermine the Voting Rights Act, Justice Thomas is more likely to want to write an opinion that reverses the decision entirely (with no further proceedings) and the Chief Justice is more likely to send it back to the trial court for further consideration (in light of a standard which allows Alabama to dilute minority votes) so there is a slim chance that the Chief Justice ended up on the wrong side of a 5-4 split. But my hunch is a 6-3 opinion that ignores the plain language of the Voting Rights Act.
Posted in Judicial
Also tagged Affirmative Action, civil rights, Free Exercise Clause, Free Speech Clause, Independent State Legislature, same-sex marriage, Student Loan Forgiveness, Supreme Court, Voting Rights Act
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